Causes Of Crisis Currency And How Countries Can Avoid The Situation

By Helene Norris


For many years, financiers have always been caught off-guard by economic instabilities that drive them out of the affected countries or cause a total collapse of their businesses. Sometimes, these possibilities are foreseeable and can be avoided. However, in some cases, the investors are just caught without warning. Crisis currency has many causes as is shown below.

The introduction of a peg. This is common in many developing countries, especially those suffering from economic imbalances such as budget deficits and high inflation. This may force the affected country to peg its legal tender to a reserve currency. This will lead to a stable domestic economy. This creates a long-term problem because it will attract investors who will over rely the foreign exchange.

Another major problem is globalization. When financial markets become globalized, it increased capital flow. The riddance of capital flows, liberalization of domestic markets, financial deregulation, and introduction of liberal derivatives leads to increased competition in the financial sector. Moreover, this situation lowers transaction costs, which creates a boom. However, without well-established control measures, this can lead to a crisis.

Excessive credit creation. When a country introduces a peg, there is increased capital flow, and accumulation of the reserve capital. Because foreign interest rates tend to be lower than domestic ones, domestic banks and firms increasingly demanded loans in foreign currency. This situation will definitely trigger a financial distress in the long run.

There is also the danger of moral hazard. Liquidity in the financial market causes local banks to ease their conditions for giving out loans. This is because they are protected from losses by hidden government guarantees. This way, they would result with immense profits in the event that the balance favors them, but the taxpayers will shield the burden in case of losses.

Bank runs can also cause financial distress. In most countries that face real estate booms, there is normally an increase of the domestic credit. This tends to favor equity markets and the property industry. However, the markets soon become saturated and he prices fall. Efforts to save the situation may lead to increased interest rates that may become unbearable with time.

Sometimes, the problem does not even start in the financial sectors. Conditions such as political unrest, a current recession, new policies, and lack of regulative measures in a highly liberal market may cause investors to doubt if the country is credit worthy. These factors will lead to withdrawal, which may lead to economic collapse and eventual financial distress.

Corruption and nepotism also affect the financial situation in a country by great depths. These factors act to repel more stable forms of foreign investment. Therefore, countries are left to dependent on volatile foreign credits to finance growth.

A country can fall into crisis currency either through internal or external forces. However, most of these signs can be seen before things get out of hand. In most cases, it is possible to avoid financial distress by passing policies that look at long-term stability and financial growth of the economy.




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